To the extent that future climate change will negatively affect local food production and economic activity, it appears that it also has the potential to fuel further fighting in areas that already are scenes of chronic conflict. The statistical analysis shows that harvest loss is robustly associated with increased levels of political violence. Using India as a test case, we investigate how year-on-year fluctuations in food production affect the severity of ongoing armed conflicts. We identify three complementary processes through which loss of food production may escalate enduring conflicts: lowered opportunity costs of rebelling, increased opportunities for recruitment, and accentuated and more widespread social grievances. Paul Collier, an expert on the economics of civil war, estimates that close to fifty armed conflicts active in 2001 had a strong link to natural resource exploitation, in which either licit or illicit exploitation helped to trigger, intensify, or sustain violence. Earlier research has linked economic shocks to conflict outbreak but loss of income from agriculture may also affect dynamics of fighting in ongoing conflicts. conflict or, much more frequently, are used to fuel a conflict.

Northeastern India consists of seven states (also known as the Seven Sister States ): Assam. In the discourse on security implications of climate change, effects on agricultural production and food insecurity are frequently claimed to be a plausible intermediate causal connection. The Insurgency in Northeast India involves multiple separatist militant groups operating in some of India s northeastern states, which are connected to the rest of India by the Siliguri Corridor, a strip of land as narrow as 14.29 miles (23.00 km) wide. In large parts of the developing world agriculture remains a broad economic sector securing livelihoods for large parts of the population.

Current armed conflicts in india